The key reports this week are August New Home sales, the third estimate of Q2 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for August, and Case-Shiller house prices for July.
For manufacturing, the Richmond, Dallas and Kansas City Fed manufacturing surveys will be released this week.
—– Monday, September 25th —–
8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August. This is a composite index of other data.
10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for September.
This graph shows the year-over-year change in the seasonally adjusted National Index, Composite 10 and Composite 20 indexes through the most recent report (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).
The consensus is for a 0.5% year-over-year increase in the National index for July.
9:00 AM: FHFA House Price Index for July. This was originally a GSE only repeat sales, however there is also an expanded index.
This graph shows New Home Sales since 1963. The dashed line is the sales rate for last month.
The consensus is for 700 thousand SAAR, down from 714 thousand in July.
10:00 AM: the Richmond Fed manufacturing survey for September.
—– Wednesday, September 27th —–
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
8:30 AM: Durable Goods Orders for August from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for a 1.6% decrease in durable goods orders.
—– Thursday, September 28th —–
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 206 thousand initial claims, up from 201 thousand last week.
8:30 AM: Gross Domestic Product, 2nd Quarter 2023 (Third Estimate), and Corporate Profits (Revised) The consensus is that real GDP increased 2.2% annualized in Q2, up from the second estimate of 2.1%.
10:00 AM: Pending Home Sales Index for August. The consensus is 1.0% decrease in the index.
11:00 AM: the Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey for September. This is the last of the regional surveys for September.
4:00 PM: Conversation with Fed Chair Powell: A Teacher Town Hall Meeting “Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome H. Powell will host a town hall with educators in Washington, D.C. and nationwide via webcast … The Chair will respond to questions from the in-person audience and virtual participants from across the country.”
—– Friday, September 29th —–
8:30 AM: Personal Income and Outlays, August 2023. The consensus is for a 0.5% increase in personal income, and for a 0.4% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.2%. PCE prices are expected to be up 3.5% YoY, and core PCE prices up 3.9% YoY.
9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for September. The consensus is for a reading of 47.6, down from 48.7 in August.
10:00 AM: University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Final for September). The consensus is for a reading of 67.7.