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Goldman August Payrolls Preview

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A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill:
“We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 149k in August (mom sa), below consensus of +170k. … our forecast embeds a 26k one-time drag from the combination of Hollywood worker strikes (-18k) and Yellow trucking layoffs (-8k) … We estimate that the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.5%—in line with consensus—reflecting a modest rise in household employment and unchanged labor force participation (at 62.6%).”
emphasis added

Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year

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